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Monday, February 20, 2006

Organic Politics

There is a theory called "the end of history theory" that says (in not so many words) that the development of history has ended. There aren't going to be any more significant historical changes from here on. History will keep happening, obviously...but it won't really be new history, and here is why. The premis of the theory is that democracy is the perfect (or as close as we are going to get) kind of government. What, you might ask, makes democracy so perfect. Well, for one thing when democracies fight wars, they almoast always win. They are much more stable than most other forms of government...which is to say that since the people get a say in what happens, they can get their grievances addresss without having to resort to civil war. Democracies are more producting economically and agriculturally, and they never fight each other (at least not yet) and go out of their way to spread democracy. So eventually we are looking at a world where everywhere is a democracy, there are no wars, and nothing happens. Sounds like the end of history to me.
It would be a good theory if it weren't for the fact that it's pure bullshit.
Politics and government are some kind of progession to a stable state...like a radioactive element decaying untill it is stable. Rather that looking at politics as a progression, I prefer to take a more organic approach. Lets look at politics like it's evolution. Now, I'm going to explain what evolution is for those of us who didn't make it past eight grade because it would take way too long. But in short, evolution is natural selection (an ordered process) combined with chance. Now lets say that we start out with no government...just people wandering around...probably nude...doing their thing in familly groups. For a long time conditions favored this life style...so people didn't cahnge. Then, conditions changed. Maybe somebody figured out how to grow food better (random chance) or maybe population densities got too high and societies that did find themselves governemtns fast dies off (natural selection). Anyway, conditions favored governemnt so people developed it. Well, conditions never ever, ever stay the same forever...so people changed their style of governemnt again. Eventually we get a feudal system...whcih looks like it's a really stupid way to live when compared with democracy...and in the modern world under modern conditions it would be. But conditions were differnt back then...for example, people faced threats that came sporadically and without any warning. A large democratic style beuracracy would not be aable to respond in time to protect it's people...but if you have local military forces scattered all around the place who are authroized to act on their own and highly trained (knights) then people will be much safer. But then conditions changed again and feudal societies were outcompeted by nation states, which didn't need to protect themselves from lots of little threats but rather from larege, centralized threats. These nation states became democracies, which outcompete other forms of governemnt like communist countries and dictatorships. Anyway, the point of long rant is that democracy is favored...for now, but one thing that you can always count on is that conditions will always change and once they do, then something else will be selected for.
If you want to look at an example of democracy's fallibility, then take a peek weimar Germany. It was probably the most democratic country ever...and we all know how well that turned out, now don't we. Sometimes democracy is liberating...and sometimes it's just giving a mildly psychotic mob just enough rope to hang itself with.

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